Betting Edge Plays
No edge plays qualify this round. Model agrees with market – stick to tipping mode.
Friday Lock Pack — Round 14
Avoid List
Storm vs Knights
(vol: 0.222)
Sea Eagles vs Rabbitohs
(vol: 0.156)
Cowboys vs Dolphins
(vol: 0.14)
Round 14 Tips
Sea Eagles
vs
Rabbitohs
Tip
Sea Eagles
1–12
Market
62%
9 books
LEAN
Sea Eagles Form57%
Rabbitohs Form29%
Sea Eagles Fatigue20%
Rabbitohs Fatigue9%
Late Mail10%
Weather18%
Upset Index9%
Model P73%
Final P65%
Blendstandard
Margin10.9pts
Storm
vs
Knights
Tip
Storm
1–12
Market
59%
9 books
LEAN
Storm Form70%
Knights Form75%
Storm Fatigue20%
Knights Fatigue19%
Late Mail10%
Weather26%
Upset Index12%
Model P40%
Final P54%
Blendstandard
Margin3.1pts
Raiders
vs
Roosters
Tip
Roosters
1–12
Market
57%
7 books
AGREE
Raiders Form54%
Roosters Form46%
Raiders Fatigue20%
Roosters Fatigue19%
Late Mail10%
Weather5%
Upset Index4%
Model P60%
Final P58%
Blendstandard
Margin-6.0pts
Cowboys
vs
Dolphins
Tip
Dolphins
1–12
Market
56%
7 books
LEAN
Cowboys Form49%
Dolphins Form84%
Cowboys Fatigue10%
Dolphins Fatigue9%
Late Mail10%
Weather14%
Upset Index8%
Model P65%
Final P58%
Blendstandard
Margin-6.1pts
Broncos
vs
Titans
Tip
Broncos
1–12
Market
70%
7 books
LEAN
Broncos Form14%
Titans Form28%
Broncos Fatigue10%
Titans Fatigue9%
Weather11%
Upset Index4%
Model P35%
Final P61%
Blendstandard
Margin8.4pts
Tigers
vs
Panthers
Tip
Panthers
1–12
Market
76%
5 books
LEAN
Tigers Form32%
Panthers Form74%
Tigers Fatigue19%
Panthers Fatigue19%
Weather9%
Upset Index3%
Model P40%
Final P67%
Blendstandard
Margin-13.3pts
Sharks
vs
Dragons
Tip
Sharks
1–12
Market
78%
7 books
LEAN
Sharks Form64%
Dragons Form28%
Sharks Fatigue9%
Dragons Fatigue19%
Weather9%
Upset Index4%
Model P62%
Final P74%
Blendstandard
Margin18.3pts
Bulldogs
vs
Eels
Tip
Bulldogs
1–12
Market
59%
9 books
LEAN
Bulldogs Form31%
Eels Form24%
Bulldogs Fatigue0%
Eels Fatigue9%
Weather0%
Upset Index0%
Model P48%
Final P56%
Blendstandard
Margin5.2pts